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· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

US WTI (CL=F) saw a brief uptick yesterday back again at $83 per barrel but has dropped since marking around $82.74 per barrel during early hours trading.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 24th, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.28 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.14 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.40 per gallon (Total).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.40 per gallon, with a low of $3.32 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.49 per gallon (Texaco).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.283.143.40
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.403.323.49

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

US WTI (CL=F) continues its downtrend closing yesterday at $82.85 per barrel, and trading in the early hours today at around $81.50 per barrel.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 23rd, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.24 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.12 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.40 per gallon (Total).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.34 per gallon, with a low of $3.30 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.45 per gallon (Total).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.243.123.40
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.343.303.45

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· 3 min read
Gabriel Smadi

What to expect

Given recent events with regards to wars and petroleum-derived fuel products, we expect crude oil markets to remain relatively stable and perhaps witness some small price relief in the US.

Crude oil in the US started trading for the week at $83 per barrel and since the early hours has seen a small fall toward $82 per barrel.

Highlights

  • Iran-Isreal War: While markets have mostly shurgged off the concerns of a broader regional escalation, this drove volatilility of oil benchmarks last week. For now, situation is calm but what is clear is Iran and Israel and brought their shadow war into the light. A noteworthy point to continue monitoring the situation and its impact on crude oil prices.

    "The real risk of this is that the Strait of Hormuz closes down or consolidates at a point where we can't get crude through there because 20% of the world's supply passes through there, so that is the big risk. It's not a risk of Iran is not going to supply anything or oil is not going to still be pumped — it's the delivery. So that's number one. Number two, where do we go from here? I know people are pegging $100 [per barrel], I think that's just an easy number... and what we have to keep in mind is when the start of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine began, we saw oil prices spike all the way to $125, I don't see that happening." - Prosper Trading Academy CEO Scott Bauer

  • EPA allows E15 gasoline sales during summer: US EPA again allows higher-ethanol blend (E15) sales over the summer to provide needed relief for rising fuel prices in the US. Gasoline with 10% ethanol (E10) is currently sold nationwide, but the higher blend (E15) has been prohibited in the summer because of concerns it could worsen smog during warm weather.

    "With gas prices on the rise again and geopolitical conflict roiling global energy markets, we applaud President Biden and EPA Administrator Michael Regan for taking decisive action to combat potential fuel shortages and keep a lid on gas prices this summer," - Renewable Fuels Association President and chief executive Geoff Cooper

  • US East Coast Switches to Summer Gasoline Blend: After the majority of US has swtiched to the more expensive summer gasoline blend, the US coast makes the switch sending wholesale prices upwards.

    "This week, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and other Northeastern states switched to a more expensive summer blend of gasoline, sending wholesale prices $0.30 to $0.32 per gallon higher" - Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at OPIS.

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

Crude oil in the US closed the week at $83 per barrel, with benckmarks broadly seeing some up and downs due to the volatily originating from tensions in the Middle East.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 20th, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.29 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.14 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.36 per gallon (Texaco).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.41 per gallon, with a low of $3.32 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.47 per gallon (Texaco).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.293.143.36
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.413.323.47

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

Crude oil benchmarks continue a downwards trends, where we find US WTI currently trading at around $81-$82 per barrel, bringing much needed relief for petroleum-derived fuels.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 19th, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.27 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.17 per gallon (BVI Gas Inc.) and a high of $3.36 per gallon (Texaco).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.39 per gallon, with a low of $3.32 per gallon (Bitas Fuel Corp.) and a high of $3.45 per gallon (Total).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.273.153.36
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.393.323.45

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

Crude oil market benchmarks are down today, with US WTI dropping to around $82 per barrel (from $85 per barrel), wholesale fuel prices also followed the sharp drop.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 18th, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.30 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.18 per gallon (BVI Gas Inc.) and a high of $3.47 per gallon (Texaco).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.42 per gallon, with a low of $3.38 per gallon (Bitas Fuel Corp.) and a high of $3.53 per gallon (Total).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.303.183.40
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.393.323.47

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

US WTI continues to trade around $84-$85 per barrel today, no major changes from yesterday.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 17th, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.36 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.23 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.50 per gallon (Peerless Oil).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.42 per gallon, with a low of $3.38 per gallon (Bitas Fuel Corp.) and a high of $3.53 per gallon (Total).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.363.233.50
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.453.383.53

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

Crude oil in the US (WTI) trades around $84-$85 per barrel today, seeing a small decrease given tensions in the Middle East and overall volatility in markets from last week.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 16th, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.37 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.23 per gallon (BVI Gas Inc) and a high of $3.45 per gallon (Texaco).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.42 per gallon, with a low of $3.35 per gallon (76 / Phillips) and a high of $3.49 per gallon (Texaco).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.373.233.45
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.423.353.49

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· 3 min read
Gabriel Smadi

What to expect

We expect further volatility for fuel prices as we witness what will evolve out of the situation in the Middle East. Monday market opening saw some relief given minor damage from a direct attack of Iran on Israel. This week should continue seeing ups and downs as the market settles and tensions subside.

Our short to mid-term expectation continues to be an upside in gasoline as we get deeper into the summer season. We see mutiple market signals such as investor positions, household income growth, and inflation that are hinting at continued increases of gasoline prices in the US.

"We think oil into the summer months will kind of top out at around $95+ a barrel," Bank of America head of global commodities Francisco Blanch

Highlights

  • Tension in the Middle East: Last week tensions rose between Israel and Iran driving crude oil prices upward but since have subsided. Iran’s production is estimated at 3 million barrels of crude oil per day.

    "If a large percentage of that [production] were to move away or be delayed to the world market the supply/demand picture could tighten further very quickly" - Dennis Kissler, senior vice president at BOK Financial

  • A ceiling for crude oil: Demand desctruction and Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) are possible levers that will keep crude under $100 per barrel

    "Right now what they [OPEC+] have is a beautiful position of controlling the market. They've got their hands on the steering wheel here. They don't want to lose that," Babin tells Yahoo Finance."You let it go too far, you get SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve). So, let's bring back some barrels. I think this puts a damper on this rally to $100 [per barrel] that some people are talking about. And he second big factor I think is demand destruction. You can't just have an explosive rally to the upside and think demand is going to be completely inelastic." - Rebecca Babin, CIBC Private Wealth US Senior Energy Trader

  • Gasoline again drives energy inflation upwards: According to Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), U.S. electricity and gasoline prices increased sharply in March, with electricity up 0.9% and gasoline up 1.7%, leading the energy sector to far outpace broader inflation for the month, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released on Wednesday.

  • Investors see upside in US gasoline: Investor positions in futures and options show an anticipation of high upside for gasoline in the United States

    "Relatively low inventories, employment gains, strong household income growth and the prospect of an active hurricane season are expected to keep gasoline consumption high and inventories under pressure." - Reuters market analyst, John Kemp

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References

· One min read
Gabriel Smadi

Summary

Crude oil in the US (WTI) closed trading yesterday at $85.66 per barrel, remaining steady near $86 per barrel from start of the week.

As seen by wholesale fuel prices collected by DACO on April 13th, wholesale diesel prices mark around $3.38 per gallon on average. We see a reported low of $3.23 per gallon (American Petroleum) and a high of $3.50 per gallon (Peerless Oil).

Wholesale gasoline prices on average marked around $3.42 per gallon, with a low of $3.34 per gallon (Bitas Fuel Corp.) and a high of $3.49 per gallon (Texaco).

ProductAverage ($/gallon)Low ($/gallon)High ($/gallon)
Wholesale Diesel3.383.233.50
Wholesale Gasoline (Regular)3.423.343.49

Wholesale Diesel (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Diesel Prices

Wholesale Diesel Trend

Wholesale Diesel v NY USDL Futures

Wholesale Gasoline (Puerto Rico)

Wholesale Gasoline Prices

Wholesale Gasoline Trend

Wholesale Gasoline v RB Gasoline Futures

Crude Oil Benchmarks

Oil Benchmarks

References